Recent polls indicate that despite campaign efforts, the UK government has recently struggled to counteract its declining popularity. According to The Guardian, despite the Conservative Party’s campaign efforts, the most recent polls reveal a decrease in popularity for Rishi Sunak, the current UK Prime Minister. This article explores the factors behind the trending hashtag “ToriesOut403.” Additionally, it will examine the reasons behind the diminishing support for Rishi Sunak in Britain and assess the likelihood of early general elections in the UK.
Fall of British support to Rishi Sunak
The likelihood of #ToriesOut403 gaining momentum appears significant. Recent polls by Opinium, commissioned by The Observer, indicate a sharp decline of 25 points in Sunak’s voter approval ratings, with only 24% of respondents expressing support for him. This trend persists even though 49% of participants surveyed held an unfavourable view of the British Prime Minister.
The increasing popularity of the Labor Party among the British
The emergence of #ToriesOut403 coincides with a surge in popularity for the opposition party. Recent polling data reveals that the Labour Party has taken the lead with a 42% approval rating, surpassing the Conservative Party’s 28% popularity. The Sunak-led government witnessed a 26% decline in popularity among British voters in early July. Despite their populist efforts during the summer, such as advertising in areas like immigration, healthcare, and education, the Conservatives could not counteract this downward trend in popularity.
Low chance of the Conservatives winning the general election
It’s almost certain that ToriesOut403 will happen. The recent results of the British city council elections show that the conservative ruling party does not have much chance to win the following year’s general elections, and the Labor Party led by Keir Starmer will not be able to win an overwhelming majority of seats in the Parliament despite leading in most polls. There is more than a year left until the general election in the UK, but the verbal debate and propaganda competition between the political parties has heated up.
The end of the 14-year rule of the conservatives
According to Professor John Curtice, a prominent political analyst at Strathclyde University, if the outcomes of the city council elections are replicated in the general elections, the Labour Party stands a good chance of unseating the Conservative Party and ending its 14-year rule. Nevertheless, Curtice suggests that Labour may fall short by 14 seats of achieving an absolute majority in Parliament.
Curtice further posits that if Labour can secure the support of 12% of Conservative voters in five crucial constituencies and gain additional votes in other regions, they could have a solid shot at obtaining an overall majority in Parliament. However, he questions the certainty of Labour’s triumph in the upcoming elections and challenges Keir Starmer’s assertion of an assured victory for the party. Curtice remarks, “Labour does not necessarily need to emerge as the largest party in the next Parliament to establish a minority government. Nevertheless, what remains far from certain is whether, despite being the frontrunners to form the next administration, they will do so with an outright majority – that remains the pivotal question.”
Requesting Rishi Sunak to do some corrections
Polls show that Keir Starmer has more public support for government running and a better chance of winning the next general election. However, experts believe that if the motion of no confidence in the government is activated, Sunak’s government will most likely win, and the conservatives will still have an overwhelming majority in Parliament. On the other hand, the senior members of the Conservative party believe that the government should pave the way for this party’s victory as soon as possible by reforming some policies.
Consensus of political experts regarding the failure of conservatives
Former Tory leader Iain Duncan Smith claimed in an article for the Telegraph that the party could still win the next election. However, he clarified that many voters would vote for this party only if Sunak fulfils the promise of reducing taxes and immigration statistics. However, many experts believe that the ruling Conservative Party has little chance of winning the general elections next year; The Labor Party will not be able to win an overwhelming majority of parliamentary seats and will most likely ally with the Liberal Democratic Party.
Bad economic conditions and a decline in the popularity of conservatives
Of course, we cannot ignore that the UK is going through complex economic challenges these days. The inflation rate has reached from 2 to 10 per cent, and the country has entered a period of economic recession since October last year. The interest rate, directly related to the monthly mortgage instalments of millions of English people, has increased by 400 basis points and imposed a heavy cost on people’s expenses.
Low chances of Sunak to retain the Prime Ministership
At the beginning of this year, the British Prime Minister promised to halve the inflation rate, reduce the government debt, strengthen the economy and repair the bankrupt health system. However, most experts and observers believe that this politician of Asian origin was chosen for a transition period from the internal crisis of the Conservative party, and even if he fulfils his promises and can keep the prime minister’s seat until the end of the parliamentary term, he has little chance of winning the elections.
Reducing the credibility and legitimacy of the Conservative party
Recent months have seen a succession of statistics published, all pointing to a significant erosion of credibility and legitimacy for the Conservative Party in the eyes of the public. It appears increasingly improbable that the party will emerge victorious next year in the upcoming general elections. The outcomes of several rounds of recent mid-term elections, marked by substantial defeats for the Conservative Party and the relinquishing of multiple parliamentary seats to the Labour Party, provide compelling evidence that the Conservatives are already facing a daunting challenge in the next general election.
Dismissal of Rishi Sunak before general elections
The British Conservative government is also struggling with high inflation, recession, strikes and a crisis in the public health system. In the mid-term elections in the UK, the ruling conservatives lost their decisive majority in two constituencies and suffered a heavy defeat. Reports indicate that Sunak’s fellow party members are conspiring to oust him.
Rishi Sunak, unable to regain public trust
The UK government still needs to disclose the precise date for the upcoming general election. As per the typical political timeline, these elections are expected to occur before January 28, 2025. Recent polls conducted in the UK consistently indicate a diminishing popularity for Rishi Sunak, despite his assurances and efforts to enhance the country’s economic situation. It appears increasingly unlikely that he will be able to hold onto the position of Prime Minister until next year’s scheduled general elections.
