UK leaving the EU under Brexit has led to a major shift in the people of Scotland. It is most likely Scotland will get independence if the new referendum was carried out by 2023. It was seen in the Brexit the people of Scotland and Northern Ireland voted against leaving the EU but they were outnumbered by yes votes. So the people of Scotland have maintained their pressure for a second referendum ever since, staging marches, mass gatherings and protests. They think they deserve to have their say again after Brexit. It seems likely that the USA will sideline the UK after its incapability of serving its interests.
Scottish independence referendum is inevitable
In the 2021 elections SNP and the Greens, both of which support Scottish independence, won 72 of the 129 seats in the parliament. That is almost 56 per cent of seats: so the demand for a second independence referendum has become stronger and can’t be stopped by the British government. If people in Scotland vote for a pro-independence majority in the Scottish parliament; no politician has got the right to stand in the way of that.
Minister for Zero Carbon Buildings, Active Travel and Tenants Rights Mr Patrick Harvie said on holding another Scottish independence referendum by 2023 is “entirely feasible” and remains the government’s plan. Comparing the situation to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and said the UK should not “abandon” its democratic principles by blocking a vote on the union. “The parliamentary majority that was elected between SNP and Greens who stood on a promise of delivering that and intend to do so All we can do is to continue on the course of fulfilling the promise that we made, and that’s our intention.” He added: “The world is so furious and anxious about the profound threat to democracy that’s taking place in Europe at the moment. “This is not a time to abandon those democratic principles. This is not a time to say ‘we dare not ask the people of Scotland what choice they would make about their future’. “This is a time to redouble our commitment to democracy and to say ‘power lies with the people.
Pressed on the legality of a vote if the UK Government refuses to authorise a referendum, Harvie told “There’s a range of legal opinion that’s been expressed. So it is a general opinion that indyref2 is inevitable. In 2021 PM Boris Johnson said it would be ‘irresponsible and reckless’ to hold a fresh referendum. It will be soon to say will he withstand the pressure as he is well known to escape resignation after resignation after scandals surfaced to the public. Labour party leader Sir Keir Starmer has related this matter to the Ukraine crisis he thinks the UK might be doing the same to Northern Ireland when it comes to going against the wish of a country to decide for itself its future.
Impact of Splitting UK (Ireland and Scotland) on the USA.
Although from WW II EU and US have emerged as unbreakable allies and it is no secret the best buddy for the USA in the EU in Britain. The US way to the EU went through Britain. Now it is not difficult to understand how the Scottish Independence will impact the US. Their military and economical interests are seen as common on the global level. They have been rampant in the Middle East for two decades for the common interest. a ‘Yes’ vote would immediately deliver a shattering blow to the political and economic stability of a crucial American ally and global financial power. Britain’s ability to act effectively would be gravely impaired on every issue like Ukraine. It would be a Geopolitical disaster for the United Kingdom and the United States. It would neutralize the UK military and diplomatic power in the global Arena and deprived the United States of one of its allies an ally that remains a critical pillar of the United States defence structure.
The SNP’s continuing insistence on a nuclear-weapons-free policy would lock U.S. and U.K. forces out of Scotland’s naval bases. After the UK left the EU it has lost its value for the USA as it can no longer have a stronger word in the EU and USA might have discovered new allies like France and Germany and Scotland can now play the role of the UK in the EU. So it seems most likely that the USA will prefer the EU over England.
Where does the United States stand on the Scottish independence Referendum issue?
Back in 2014, the then president was campaigning in Iowa when a reporter asked him about the forthcoming referendum that year. Biden said: “I think the United Kingdom, uh, well look, I learned from Scottish friends, the last thing to do is to suggest to a Scot what he should do.
“So I’m going to stay out of that. We have a great alliance now.”
By comparison, Barack Obama left little doubt about his desire to see the UK remain a strong partner of the United States. Speaking in June 2014, Obama said: “There is a referendum process in place and it is up to the people of Scotland”. “The United Kingdom has been an extraordinary partner to us. From the outside at least, it looks like things have worked pretty well. And we have a deep interest in making sure that one of the closest allies we will ever have remains a strong, robust, united and effective partner.”
Trump had another term “it would be terrible” Joe Biden said in 2020, quoting Seamus Heaney, democracy can be delayed, but never permanently defeated; and if the people of Scotland have finally decided to leave the Brexit state, and the culture of reactionary delusion on which it is founded, then sooner or later, they will have their way. It is an indication of supporting the separation of states of the UK.
Conclusion
The Scottish government’s ultimate objective, of course, is for an independent Scotland that is a full member of the European Union; as in Brexit Scots didn’t want to leave the EU but the British left the EU eventually. Here comes the play will the White House back its best buddy over her geopolitical interests or will prefer to support the principles of democracy? The answer is not complicated but simple and clear the United States has never stood for principles it talks of when it comes to its interests. Not long ago Saudi Arabia executed 81 men in the biggest mass execution of her history but as her oil has given her impunity neither Biden nor Boris uttered a word against Prince so far. If in case Saudi refused to drill more oil to satiate the west the sanctions might be ready over it. And we will see all of the sudden media talking of Saudi atrocities over her population. American influence in the EU was through her ally Britain but she has left it. Now Scotland is willing to be its part so it may serve the USA in important matters. Also, France and Germany will be no more useful than abandoning England. Then why should the USA bother about the splitting of the UK?
